Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.570172 2.704994 2.845321 3.002690 3.174753 3.357733 3.567780
2025-11-09 2.304463 2.494118 2.700906 2.944768 3.226664 3.545016 3.935703
2025-11-16 2.144058 2.363377 2.610014 2.911084 3.273160 3.700623 4.252973
2025-11-23 2.049656 2.292975 2.573598 2.926194 3.364902 3.903609 4.633471
2025-11-30 1.970198 2.231014 2.538182 2.933675 3.440447 4.084856 4.996751
2025-12-07 1.865748 2.131194 2.448574 2.864599 3.409515 4.121150 5.163151
2025-12-14 1.781650 2.050810 2.376973 2.811447 3.392041 4.169280 5.344917
2025-12-21 1.724075 1.999644 2.338055 2.796198 3.421059 4.279347 5.623215
2025-12-28 1.672008 1.952485 2.301084 2.780034 3.445726 4.382481 5.898853
2026-01-04 1.635722 1.923327 2.285189 2.789976 3.505553 4.538728 6.272938
2026-01-11 1.606533 1.901668 2.277459 2.809585 3.578917 4.719115 6.706770
2026-01-18 1.572627 1.872275 2.257768 2.810823 3.624476 4.859086 7.087918
2026-01-25 1.525764 1.825242 2.213870 2.777635 3.619527 4.923409 7.351711
2026-02-01 1.475161 1.771767 2.159456 2.727114 3.585610 4.938778 7.528518
2026-02-08 1.435296 1.731211 2.120979 2.697401 3.581169 5.001262 7.803220
2026-02-15 1.412930 1.713249 2.112634 2.710744 3.643887 5.181115 8.339193
2026-02-22 1.389723 1.693234 2.100429 2.717348 3.695635 5.345793 8.872245
2026-03-01 1.345736 1.643543 2.044829 2.656322 3.633981 5.303049 8.943790
2026-03-08 1.308488 1.602141 1.999689 2.609290 3.592642 5.293758 9.090112
2026-03-15 1.283826 1.577369 1.977298 2.595784 3.605710 5.385024 9.485837
2026-03-22 1.260142 1.553291 1.955077 2.581462 3.616277 5.471968 9.887218
2026-03-29 1.244612 1.540119 1.948058 2.590272 3.666447 5.639024 10.525997
2026-04-05 1.232330 1.531106 1.946669 2.607641 3.732148 5.842642 11.311808